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Monday, June 21, 2010

Man advantage numbers in soccer

By Tangotiger, 09:16 AM

Great stuff from Gabe, and exactly the question I was asking myself this weekend.

When you are one man down, you end up taking only about one-third the shots (and the team that is up one man takes two-thirds the shots).  Goal-scoring, it’s about 72% to 28%.

Another tidbit is that in normal 11-on-11 play, the home team scores 1.4 goals and allows 1.0 goals.  I’ll see if I can construct a quick Poisson chart to show what that means in terms of win expectancy.

(1) Comments • 2010/06/21 • Other Sports • Soccer
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May 26 01:11
Largest demonstration in Canadian history?

May 25 23:40
“Why Kickstarter works”

May 25 19:41
What sabermetrics is NOT

May 25 19:41
Pete Palmer’s new book: Basic Ball

May 25 16:59
Howard Stern

May 25 15:12
Do pitcher’s reach back for velocity when needed?

May 25 12:51
Chad Curtis

May 25 11:26
Lack of hustle during a game

May 25 10:58
Rooting for laundry

May 25 02:38
NFLPA lawsuit against collusion

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June 21, 2010
Man advantage numbers in soccer

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