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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Loss from piracy

By Tangotiger, 02:54 PM

Here’s one who gets it:

The team used the game and surrounding publicity to help educate people on the SARS virus. While the team cited nearly half a million dollar loss (from the potential revenue lost from selling $1 tickets), the $48,000 gate was really only about $160,000 less than the revenue for an average game.

This is why I don’t listen to the “opportunity cost” of piracy and other thefts.  As this author correctly pointed out, the Jays were averaging $200K in revenue on tickets.  Therefore, they can’t then say that they lost $10 per ticket times 48,000 fans in this promotion!  Indeed, if they somehow managed to attract even MORE fans (say 200,000 total if they could fit them), and taking in $200K in tickets, the Jays would have instead said they lost 2 million dollars!

You get the same kind of “losses” being reported for online piracies.  Not every download was an otherwise sale.  Perhaps 1% or 10% of those illegally downloading things would have bought the item anyway.  For the other 90% or 99%, they would not have bought the item anyway.  That is not a “loss” to the company.

(9) Comments • 2009/09/02 • SabermetricsFinancesBlogging
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September 02, 2009
Loss from piracy