THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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The Unwritten Book is Finally Written!
An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
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Tuesday, November 27, 2007

Long-term forecasts

By Tangotiger, 03:05 PM

I really ought to come up with a better forecast engine than dropping everyone by 0.5 wins every year. It works remarkably well in most cases. But, sometimes it doesn’t make sense. Where it doesn’t make sense the most is with relievers. Let’s create a basic model for starting pitchers:

(6) Comments • 2007/11/29 • Sabermetrics • Forecasting

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