THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, May 13, 2011

Lastings Milledge or LASTINGS MILLEDGE?

By Tangotiger, 09:20 AM

Eric gives us a study on perennial prospects, where he classifies players as prospects who didn’t perform well between the ages of 23-26, even though they were given plenty of opportunities. He found 340 Lastings Milledge-types. Then looked for what happened to them at age 27-29:

A total of 21 players… producing more than 1.6 WAR in each of their age 27, 28, and 29 yrs old seasons.

That’s 6.2%.

I’m thinking I’d like to see a comparison point. Perhaps players who produced more than 1.6 WAR in each of their age 23-26 seasons, and then finding out how often they continued to post 1.6 WAR in each of their 27-29 seasons.

Nonetheless, great study, one I’ve been meaning to do for years now, and I’m glad someone else did all the heavy lifting.

(2) Comments • 2011/05/13 • Sabermetrics • Forecasting

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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Friday, May 13, 2011

Lastings Milledge or LASTINGS MILLEDGE?

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