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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, December 23, 2010

Last year’s 1 year deals on starting pitchers

By Tangotiger, 11:47 AM

Ah, I love it when people do their verifications.  Great job:

Overall the group was guaranteed $68.8 million and provided 15.5 fWAR ($4.4 million per win).

Rally however had them forecast for 23 WAR, though we’ll obviously cut him almost total slack on Sheets and Bedard.  This may go toward what Matt was talking about how we overforecast on WAR and therefore underforecast on dollars per WAR.

In any case, that’s how you do your verification.

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December 23, 2010
Last year’s 1 year deals on starting pitchers