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Friday, May 15, 2009
Kris Benson = Stephen Strasburg?
Here are their numbers in 1996, as well as how the draft went:
Grouping # Total WAR Avg /season
College Pitcher 8 31.3 0.652
HS Pitcher 13 23.5 0.301
College Hitter 5 16.1 0.536
HS Hitter 9 22.4 0.414
First off, the negative WAR should be reduced to zero. Secondly, we would LIKE to see the WAR per player per the same for every subgroup. That would imply we have equilibrium. Obviously, we can’t make any conclusion based on one year. But, if you do this over a long enough time period, you get to see how well MLB has done in choosing between HS, College, Pitchers, and hitters. Here’s an example of what I mean.
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