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Tuesday, July 06, 2010
Koufax’s peak
Studes uses Situational Wins (WPA/LI).
His Individualized Won-Loss for his big 6 years was 74-8. Curt Schilling‘s best 8 years has him at 75-7.
If you look at the year-by-year records, you will see that Koufax, while great, did not dominate the other pitchers. Marichal had 5 great years, totalling a 64-9 Indi W/L record. Koufax had the World Series, and he left on top. There’s the legend right there.
This is not Pedro. Pedro from 1997-2003 had an ERA of 2.20. The next closest (min 4000 PA) was Randy at 2.70, Kevin Brown at 2.72, and Greg Maddux at 2.93. After that, it’s a cliff to Curt Schilling at 3.23.
From 1962-1966, facing a similar number of batters, Koufax had an ERA of 1.95. After that, it’s Marichal at 2.50, then 4 pitchers between 2.74 to 2.79, then three more pitchers at 2.95 to 2.97. Basically, if you add 10% to all these pitchers’ numbers, they match up to the 1997-2003 pitchers.
The difference is that Koufax pitched in an extreme pitchers park, and Pedro didn’t.
What Koufax, and the other pitchers have, of course, is that they had more starts. They had close to the same number of pitches per start (about 115 for Koufax, around 108 for Pedro). Koufax, and all pitchers of his era, simply had more starts. Pitchers of Pedro’s era probably exerted more per pitch.
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