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Tuesday, December 06, 2011
Jayson Werth, CF
Neyer brings us news.
Werth in his MLB career has 877 innings in CF (almost 100 games), where he was +4 runs (or +6 runs per 162 games).
UZR loves him in the corners, with a UZR of +41 runs in 6414 innings, or an average of +9 runs per 162 games. A standard conversion would presume he’d be -1 run in CF.
Put the two together, and his translated CF performance was exactly 0 runs. Of course he’s 33 years old, and not an average of around 30 years old when we have those observations. That’s going to knock out probably 5 runs.
So, probably he’ll be -5 runs in 2012 in CF (and +5 in RF). Something like that. He’s a good enough fielder to be able to hold down CF for maybe the next two years, but after that, he won’t be able to handle it any longer.
A parallel is probably Alex Rios. Both around the same age, both excellent in RF for most of their careers, both tried in CF with a certain amount of success, and both destined to remain a fixture in the corner OF in their early to mid 30’s.
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