THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, July 31, 2009

Intent to hit a spot

By Tangotiger, 10:13 AM

Dave Allen, inspired by MGL comments on attempts to hit a spot, tries to figure out how often Mariano Rivera hits his spots:

Over 75% of his pitches are within half a foot to either side of the target along the horizontal axis. In other words 75% of the time he can get his pitch within a 1-foot horizontal strip. Over 50% of his pitches are within 1/3 of a foot to either side of his target along the horizontal axis. So half the time he gets it in a 8-in horizontal strip.

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July 31, 2009
Intent to hit a spot