Monday, April 30, 2007
If a pitcher pitches a brilliant game, is he likely a good pitcher?
I’ve always thought and written that when a pitcher pitches a brilliant game, he looks like Cy Young and when that same pitcher throws a stinker of a game, he looks like Sy Epstein (our old family lawyer).
Naturally, I also wondered, when a pitcher does pitch an excellent game, what are the chances that he is a very good pitcher, an average one, a poor one, etc. I did some quick sims to get some idea and here is what I found.


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