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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Monday, September 10, 2007

I took statistics in college…

By , 06:43 AM

In a recent published interview with Dave Trembley, manager of the Orioles, by Baseball Prospectus, he was asked, “What is your opinion of the relative value of OBP and SLG?” Not withstanding the strange and “set-up” nature of the question (heck, I’m not sure how I would answer that, or even what it means), here is Trembley’s full response:

I think that on-base percentage is something that everyone is looking for, and there’s validity to that. I think slugging percentage can be somewhat skewed. I took statistics in college, so I understand about plus and minus standard deviations. With statistics and match-ups, you don’t really know when it happened; what was the situation, the score of the game, when did the guy hit, how important was the run? I think you can use those things, but they’re not the end-all, or be-all, in making decisions.

“Plus and minus standard deviations?”

I think that Oriole fans can feel secure in knowing that Trembley took statistics in college, understands it, and therefore ought to be the perfect strategic manager!  And if ever a question of standard deviation comes up in a game - boom!

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(21) Comments • 2007/09/19 • SabermetricsIn-game_Strategy
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