THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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The Unwritten Book is Finally Written!
An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
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Wednesday, February 20, 2008

How often is your closer not available in an optimal setting?

By Tangotiger, 04:38 PM

Managers seem to get a little skittish when the closer is needed four days in a row, so let’s assume that a reliever can only pitch three innings in any four game period… How often would the closer not be available? About three games per year (2.93, to be exact). Of those games in which the closer was not available, the number of times his presence was needed? About 14.7% of those games. On average, not even half a game per year.

Oh, but the psychological impact of that half game. What about that? That could derail an entire season, folks. These are people, not machines. If only this knucklehead(*) stathead knew something about pyschology.

(13) Comments • 2008/02/27 • Sabermetrics • In-game_Strategy

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