from Amazon
Friday, January 28, 2011
How much home field advantage do we want?
If you go to a baseball game, I’m thinking that you want a 70-75% chance of winning (you want to feel like Halladay is always pitching). You don’t want to always win, but you also don’t always want to be a in 50/50 situation. Dave asks the question. I don’t have a good answer.
In soccer (3 points for a win, 1 point for a tie), the home team gets about 0.60 more points at home than on the road. That translates to about 48% home wins, 24% ties, and 28% losses. Counting a tie as half a win for our purposes, that’s 60% home wins and 40% home losses. NBA is 62%.
If let’s say we want much higher than the 54% historical in MLB, how do you go about doing that without being overt about it? Home manager rule for using a DH or not might be one thing. But, that’s going to be a tiny advantage, say .01 or .02 wins. We need to find .16 wins somewhere.
Recent comments
Older comments
Page 1 of 344 pages 1 2 3 > Last »Complete Archive – By Category
Complete Archive – By Date