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Monday, August 30, 2010
How hard can it possibly be to estimate a crowd?
This is 2010, right? We have pitch f/x, field f/x, and hit f/x, but no one can estimate the size of a crowd to within a few hundred thousand persons?
According to this article, airphotoslive.com estimated the crowd at 87,000 people with a margin of error (not sure what that means - 2 SE?) of 7,000. They analyzed pictures taken at 12 noon which they said contained the “peak of the crowd.”
A Park Service official (the Park Service does not do any official crowd estimates anymore) said around 300,000. The article did not say where he got that number from.
Beck told the crowd that he had heard estimates of between 300,000 and 500,000, with no reference of from whom.
From the article:
Minnesota congresswoman and Tea Party darling Rep. Michele Bachmann challenged anyone who calculated Beck’s audience at anything less than seven digits. “We’re not going let anyone get away with saying there were less than a million here today because we were witnesses,” Bachmann said.
She sounds like an idiot, from that statement at least.
If we can’t even be told the truth about something as trivial as that, can we get the truth about anything? It is sad. Truly sad.
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