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Thursday, October 02, 2008
How can we “predict” which teams will do well in the post-season?
Here is an SI,com article by John Donovan (I don’t know who he is). In it, he says:
Still, there are smart ways to pick the teams that will fare best in the playoffs. Nate Silver and the hard-thinkers over at Baseball Prospectus have looked at tons of data and come up with a formula that identifies the three main characteristics of a successful playoff team. They are:
1. Pitchers that strike out batters.
2. A stud closer.
3. A good defense.
You might notice there’s no mention of home runs or the ability to squeeze a guy to second with one out against a left-hander. There’s not anything in there about crafty managers or experience or a versatile bench, either. Momentum? History? Don’t even bother. Speed? Pssh. Clutchness? Please, save it.
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