THE BOOK cover
The Unwritten Book is Finally Written!
An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
Read Excerpts & Customer Reviews
If you are a media member and would like a review copy of The Book, please contact Kevin Cuddihy of Potomac Books.

Buy The Book from Amazon

MOST RECENT ARTICLES
MAIL : You ask | We say

Advanced


THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Filter posts by...

 

Thursday, October 02, 2008

How can we “predict” which teams will do well in the post-season?

By , 08:04 PM

Here is an SI,com article by John Donovan (I don’t know who he is).  In it, he says:

Still, there are smart ways to pick the teams that will fare best in the playoffs. Nate Silver and the hard-thinkers over at Baseball Prospectus have looked at tons of data and come up with a formula that identifies the three main characteristics of a successful playoff team. They are:

1. Pitchers that strike out batters.

2. A stud closer.

3. A good defense.

You might notice there’s no mention of home runs or the ability to squeeze a guy to second with one out against a left-hander. There’s not anything in there about crafty managers or experience or a versatile bench, either. Momentum? History? Don’t even bother. Speed? Pssh. Clutchness? Please, save it.

Read More

(18) Comments • 2008/11/02
Page 1 of 1 pages

Recent comments

Jul 04 12:06 Mapping IDs
Jul 04 01:40 BPro Idol
Jul 03 01:39 sUZR v bUZR
Jul 02 21:15 Batting Order and the pitcher
Jun 30 07:22 NHL draft analysis and spreadsheet 1994-2009
Jun 30 04:14 The Poz goes FJM on Harold Reynolds’ a$$ - gather around the kids
Jun 30 00:11 Blogosphere Question of the Day, 06/24; OR Why should OPS die?
Jun 27 16:04 Loss aversion in golf
Jun 26 16:30 Donald Fehr
Jun 26 14:04 Barry Code
Jun 26 10:33 David Wright
Jun 25 22:21 Career WAR based on draft pick
Jun 25 16:36 UZR in MSM
Jun 24 11:05 Batted ball distance of Ortiz is way way down
Jun 23 17:09 Canadian banking system
Jun 23 15:33 Breaking even on stealing
Jun 23 11:14 WAR Lords
Jun 23 09:54 Contract Buyouts
Jun 22 20:14 Get The Book
Jun 22 19:15 Pee-Wee Hockey

Older comments

Page 1 of 104 pages  1 2 3 >  Last »

Complete Archive – By Category


Complete Archive – By Date

The views, comments and reactions in this website are personal views, comments and reactions of the individual bloggers and visitors of this website. Each of Andy, Mitchel, and Tom disclaim and disavow responsibility whatsoever of anything written by the other two, or by the visitors, as it is not reflective of his own views, comments and reactions to any issue at hand. Please be advised accordingly.

"Think of this place as something like a college classroom. We’re in charge, we pick the topics, we set the rules, and we try to foster as much intelligent discourse as possible. If this isn't your cup of tea, there are plenty of other sites out there for you to try—we're not going to be for everybody, and we're not going to try to appeal to the masses." —USSM

Latest...

COMMENTS

Jul 04 12:06
Mapping IDs

Jul 04 01:40
BPro Idol

Jul 03 01:39
sUZR v bUZR

Jul 02 21:15
Batting Order and the pitcher

Jun 30 07:22
NHL draft analysis and spreadsheet 1994-2009

Jun 30 04:14
The Poz goes FJM on Harold Reynolds’ a$$ - gather around the kids

Jun 30 00:11
Blogosphere Question of the Day, 06/24; OR Why should OPS die?

Jun 27 16:04
Loss aversion in golf

Jun 26 16:30
Donald Fehr

Jun 26 14:04
Barry Code

THREADS

October 02, 2008
How can we “predict” which teams will do well in the post-season?

Add to My Yahoo | RSS 2.0 Summary | RSS 2.0 Summary + Extended     
Powered by ExpressionEngine