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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, January 30, 2007

Home Field Advantage

By Tangotiger, 10:30 AM

Phil points to the latest BEPRESS issue, where Phil says:

They start by examining run scoring: they find that in games of 2004-2005, the home team scored .093 runs per game more than the visiting team. This number looks small, and so the authors conclude this “little supports” the explanation that home teams are “more proficient at scoring runs.”

Ah, the power of picking and choosing numbers, without context.  Here’s the reality:

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(7) Comments • 2007/01/31 • Sabermetrics • Run_Win_Expectancy
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Recent comments

Feb 11 16:48 Reader Mail of the Day: Why do we need X years of fielding data?  And what about outliers?
Feb 11 16:10 Clutch analogy
Feb 11 15:58 MGL: Today on Clubhouse Confidential
Feb 11 11:54 Who is Jeremy Lin?
Feb 11 10:29 Dwight Evans
Feb 11 02:12 Performance through the ages
Feb 10 23:01 For Your Soul
Feb 10 21:07 Hero of the month: Brittney Baxter
Feb 10 18:32 Moneyball at Villanova
Feb 10 17:00 Psst… wanna intern in Canada?
Feb 10 15:01 New PECOTA
Feb 10 14:28 Win expectancy charts used in football… in 1983!
Feb 10 12:56 Turbo Tax: the Netflix of tax software?
Feb 10 01:43 The will of the people?
Feb 10 00:36 Correlation of pitcher metrics: FIP strikes again
Feb 09 22:39 Who’s evaluating the 2011 forecasts this year?
Feb 09 11:56 Forecaster’s Challenge: 2012?
Feb 09 11:45 When is a life entity considered a person?
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Feb 08 22:41 Batman, the webslinger?

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COMMENTS

Feb 11 16:48
Reader Mail of the Day: Why do we need X years of fielding data?  And what about outliers?

Feb 11 16:10
Clutch analogy

Feb 11 15:58
MGL: Today on Clubhouse Confidential

Feb 11 11:54
Who is Jeremy Lin?

Feb 11 10:29
Dwight Evans

Feb 11 02:12
Performance through the ages

Feb 10 23:01
For Your Soul

Feb 10 21:07
Hero of the month: Brittney Baxter

Feb 10 18:32
Moneyball at Villanova

Feb 10 17:00
Psst… wanna intern in Canada?

THREADS

January 30, 2007
Home Field Advantage

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