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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Gil Meche

By Tangotiger, 03:27 PM

Meche was paid 43MM$ for his four years with the Royals and is now retiring, leaving 12MM$ on the table (unless of course the Royals induced him to retire by paying him some settlement fee).

According to Fangraphs, he had 11 wins for the Royals, and according to B-R.com, he had 9 wins (partly because of higher replacement level).  BPro has him at 10 wins (partly because of lower replacement level).  Anyway, some 9-11 wins for 43MM$ means that the Royals made out fine.

They overpaid for him, but he turned in two excellent seasons to kick off the deal.  This is one of those deals where either the Royals played with fire, or their talent evaluators knew more than the other 29 teams in the league.

On one deal, you can’t tell, and so, no conclusions can be drawn.

(13) Comments • 2011/01/26 • SabermetricsFinances
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January 18, 2011
Gil Meche