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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, September 10, 2010

Free agents who signed multi-year deals in 2010

By Tangotiger, 01:31 PM

If you remember, I crowdsourced what the Fans thought about those multi-year deals.

The runaway leader was Figgins, and he hasn’t performed to meet those expectations.  Next up were Polanco, Byrd, and they’ve done very well against expectations.

Lackey has given the Redsox what they paid for (so far) and what the fans expected. Wolf is a disappointment, while the fans were 50/50 on him.

Holliday has been better than expected, but I presume the fans didn’t like it for the very long term deal of it.  Either you give the Fans a win on Lackey and loss on Holliday, or they are both too early to call.

Jason Bay.  Well, Jason Bay.

Brandon Lyon has given what was expected from a setup guy and what was expected from everyone (except only 1 HR, which is very low), but at a higher price that deserved.  Call him a wash for now.

All in all, the Fans did somewhat ok in getting a payoff in their assessment.  In two or three years, when the revisionists come knocking, you can tell them how the fans really viewed the deals.  I’ll re-run the poll in the offseason.

(2) Comments • 2010/09/12 • SabermetricsFinancesForecasting
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September 10, 2010
Free agents who signed multi-year deals in 2010