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Wednesday, March 07, 2007

Forecasting Stocks

By Tangotiger, 05:46 PM

No surprise for those that follow the market, as this website finds that:

The following table (last updated 3/3/07) summarizes the results of our reviews of the publicly available forecasts of 40 experts regarding the future direction of the overall U.S. stock market. ... The overall accuracy of the group based on raw forecast count is 48%.

The top guru is Ken Fisher, with his forecast being 3.5 standard deviations above the mean.  Ken provided this article.

(13) Comments • 2008/11/25 • Sabermetrics • Forecasting • Blogging
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Recent comments

May 25 19:41 What sabermetrics is NOT
May 25 19:41 Pete Palmer’s new book: Basic Ball
May 25 19:38 “Why Kickstarter works”
May 25 17:32 Largest demonstration in Canadian history?
May 25 16:59 Howard Stern
May 25 15:12 Do pitcher’s reach back for velocity when needed?
May 25 12:51 Chad Curtis
May 25 11:26 Lack of hustle during a game
May 25 10:58 Rooting for laundry
May 25 02:38 NFLPA lawsuit against collusion
May 25 01:43 Neal Huntington’s best moves
May 24 17:04 Firefox, IE, or Chrome?
May 24 12:07 How to beat the shift
May 24 11:11 Incredible story
May 24 09:41 Racial bias in card collecting: not the collectors, but the players on the cards
May 24 08:13 espnW for hockey: CBC’s WhileTheMenWatch.com
May 24 00:16 Psst… wanna intern… somewhere?
May 23 23:33 Inertia of player safety
May 23 21:36 Doc Halladay: this month’s “hey, a superstar generated random numbers, let’s build a narrative!”
May 23 19:43 Minor league baseballs are built to different specifications than major league baseballs

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COMMENTS

May 25 19:41
What sabermetrics is NOT

May 25 19:41
Pete Palmer’s new book: Basic Ball

May 25 19:38
“Why Kickstarter works”

May 25 17:32
Largest demonstration in Canadian history?

May 25 16:59
Howard Stern

May 25 15:12
Do pitcher’s reach back for velocity when needed?

May 25 12:51
Chad Curtis

May 25 11:26
Lack of hustle during a game

May 25 10:58
Rooting for laundry

May 25 02:38
NFLPA lawsuit against collusion

THREADS

March 07, 2007
Forecasting Stocks

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