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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, April 03, 2007

Forecasting Project Update

By Tangotiger, 11:30 AM

First off, Diamond-Mind has released their forecasts to the general public.  Big kudos to them, as these forecasts now have very limited value (presuming most of the value is pre-draft).

I’ll be going through the forecasts from the following ten systems: THT, DMB, PECOTA, ZIPS, Chone, Marcel, Bill James, Pete Palmer, MGL, Shandler.  My first step is to link all of their forecasts by some sort of player id (easily the worst part of the job).  I also have to take all the community forecasts, parse them, standardize them, and come up with the results for each player.  And then link their MLB player ID to all the other forecasters.  Then the fun begins.

Stay tuned…

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April 03, 2007
Forecasting Project Update