THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Forecasting 300 wins

By Tangotiger, 05:13 PM

I have several posts on Bill James’ site suggesting giving Cliff Lee a 20% chance at 300 wins is quite optimistic.

It’s throughout the comments of this article (which is free, as are all the comments, including Bill’s). It’s a decent read.

For posterity, all my posts are being reproduced below.

(5) Comments • 2011/11/30 • Sabermetrics • Forecasting

Page 1 of 1 pages

May 25 19:41		What sabermetrics is NOT
May 25 19:41		Pete Palmer’s new book: Basic Ball
May 25 19:38		“Why Kickstarter works”
May 25 17:32		Largest demonstration in Canadian history?
May 25 16:59		Howard Stern
May 25 15:12		Do pitcher’s reach back for velocity when needed?
May 25 12:51		Chad Curtis
May 25 11:26		Lack of hustle during a game
May 25 10:58		Rooting for laundry
May 25 02:38		NFLPA lawsuit against collusion
May 25 01:43		Neal Huntington’s best moves
May 24 17:04		Firefox, IE, or Chrome?
May 24 12:07		How to beat the shift
May 24 11:11		Incredible story
May 24 09:41		Racial bias in card collecting: not the collectors, but the players on the cards
May 24 08:13		espnW for hockey: CBC’s WhileTheMenWatch.com
May 24 00:16		Psst… wanna intern… somewhere?
May 23 23:33		Inertia of player safety
May 23 21:36		Doc Halladay: this month’s “hey, a superstar generated random numbers, let’s build a narrative!”
May 23 19:43		Minor league baseballs are built to different specifications than major league baseballs
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