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Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Expected RBI, by lineup slot
This is what Tony Perez’s RBI totals would be, based on where he hit in the lineup (and had average baserunners, for those lineup slots):
1 1,147
2 1,299
3 1,523
4 1,619
5 1,559
6 1,471
7 1,452
8 1,435
9 1,426
I posted this last year, but for those who didn’t see it:
http://tangotiger.net/retrosheet/reports/runs_rbi_by_lineup_tot.html
http://tangotiger.net/retrosheet/reports/runs_rbi_by_lineup.html
And, this is one of the most important links to have, as it is basically the core of the run expectancy chart, which itself is the core of the win expectancy chart, and therefore, is the core for understanding baseball strategies:
http://tangotiger.net/retrosheet/reports/chance_scoring_by_base_out_retrosheet_years_since1993.html
Learn those numbers, memorize them. They are that important. You will see a pattern there, which basically says that if your chances of scoring is “1x” with 2 outs, then it’s “2x” with 1 out and “3x” with 0 outs. Remember that. ("Whoever sets up the meeting is the traitor. Remember that.")
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