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Friday, December 05, 2008
Dustin Pedroia
Pedroia: 6/40.5, with 2+ years of service (not enough for super 2). They are buying out 2 years of free agency.
Offense: +2 wins above average, per 162
Defense: +1 win
Position: +0.25
Replacement: +2.5
Playing Time: 88%
WAR = .88*(+2 +1 +0.25 +2.5) = 5
That is a MONSTER.
He should have signed a 6/85 deal. So, he gave a 50% discount from a year-to-year deal. This is Chase Utley and Joe Mauer bad, for the player.
Clearly, teams are able to exploit the fact that players have so little leverage in their first three years, that the “million dollar sign” makes a huge difference.
If Pedroia was a free agent, he’d be worth 137MM for 6 years.
Follow me here: Pedroia, as a free agent, would have commanded a 6/137 deal. Under the slave/arb rules, he would have commanded a 6/86 deal, going year-by-year (on average, including the chance of injury). He locks himself in to a 6/40.5 deal.
I’ll say it for some of you:
Oh, it’s so nice that the player is not looking to hold out for the most money. He got alot of money, and the team got to lock him up. Hooray.
Ok, you said it. No need to repeat it.
There’s no question that the other 29 GMs are jumping up and down for joy here, just like they did for Utley and Mauer and Longoria.
When players sign for 30 cents on the free market dollar, that’s something that smart teams will leverage like crazy.
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