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Wednesday, December 27, 2006
Dramatic HR
I like the idea behind Eric Van of dramtic homeruns. You can quibble with the definition if you like:
A “dramatic HR” either gives you the lead in the bottom of the 8th, or ties the game or gives you a lead in the 9th or later.
You can be more strict by saying something like “the WPA changed by at least .300 wins”. Or coming up with a broader english definition that is based on the “at least .300 WPA” rule. But, the more important point is that it bring WPA into the spotlight in an english-like setting.
Rather than saying that Pujols, Jeter and Ortiz were +2 wins in the clutch in 2006, it’s more impressive to give us their BA/OBP/SLG numbers in very high leverage situations (which you can define as LI of at least 3.00, or whatever broad english statement would encompass the LI of 3).
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