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Wednesday, September 07, 2011
Does “value” mean “value to reaching the playoffs”?
Because this is what Steve is essentially arguing:
The win curve essentially states that all wins aren’t created equal. It makes little difference to the Orioles this season if they finish with 74 wins or 76 wins*, while a two-game difference can have much more importance for a team on the cusp of making the playoffs. Teams keep this concept in mind when making personnel decisions, paying more for the players that will help put them over the top and into the playoffs. There’s lots of money to be made in the playoffs, so if you’re close, it makes sense to give up more for a chance at those elusive wins.
I would say that it may make little difference to the GM, it makes a huge difference to the players. The players play each game, and want to win each game. To the players, the value is not in making the playoffs, but in winning games. They’ll play just as hard for a .400 team as they would for a .600 team. They contribute just as much, they impact just as much.
For some reason, at some point, value, to some, became about “making the playoffs”. To me, the currency is not “chance of making the playoffs”. To me, the currency is: wins. To me, value is: who contributed more toward those wins.
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