THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Does PAP work?

By Tangotiger, 05:25 PM

Beats me. I did a mini-test. I started off with the PAP at BP’s site.

I selected the 90 pitchers with the most pitches thrown in 2005, reasoning that these pitchers would reasonably be expected to be pitching in 2006 based purely on talent. From those 90 pitchers, I selected the 30 pitchers with the most “stress” (defined by BP as PAP points divided by pitches thrown), and the 30 pitchers with the lowest stress, and the 30 middle pitchers.

I was interested to see how many pitches each group threw in 2006.

(13) Comments • 2008/01/28 • Sabermetrics • Forecasting • Pitchers

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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Does PAP work?

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