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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Does Home Field Advantage differ for different teams?

By , 07:28 PM

Dayne Perry, a supposedly smart analyst writing for Fox sports (maybe writing dumb articles is a requirement when working for Fox), wrote this:

This is the case mostly because the Braves are a veritable Panzer Division at home but a pretty bad team on the road. To state the obvious, they’re exactly the kind of team for whom home-field advantage means so much.

That is something you expect to hear from Joe Morgan or really any TV commentator.

Anyway, does a team’s H/R record during the season have any predictive value? The short answer is no.  The long answer is that every team probably has a slightly (ever so slightly) different true HFA, depending upon the characteristics of their home park and how their team is able to take advantage of that park, and that some teams (just a few) have a significantly higher HFA all the time, namely Boston, COL, perhaps Tampa (because of their dome), and the Twins in the old Metrodome (but probably no longer).

Does Atlanta’s 2010 H/R record suggest anything about how “important” it is for them to have an extra game at home in the post-season?  Highly unlikely.  Dumb article…

(22) Comments • 2010/09/26
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September 15, 2010
Does Home Field Advantage differ for different teams?