Friday, April 18, 2008
Do Teams Overalue Pitchers with Bad Control but Good Stuff
Just as teams (the ones who are not that smart at least) do not value hitters’ individual components properly (e.g. putting too much weight on the negative value of K’s, too much weight on BA, and other garbage stats like HR and RBI), so too do they overvalue pitchers with good stuff who walk a lot of batters.
Yes, it is true that a pitcher can improve his walk rate more easily than he can improve his “stuff” (I think), but still, a pitcher’s walk rate is (obviously) an integral part of his overall talent/value, a concept which seems to be illusive for some teams. And a pitcher with a high walk rate is very unlikely to be a major league caliber pitcher, unless he has an unusual ability at K’ing batters and/or keeping the ball in the ballpark.


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