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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, November 02, 2007

Do power hitters see fewer fastballs in hitter’s counts?

By Tangotiger, 11:54 PM

Yes, but they see the same number as other hitters in pitcher’s counts.  Great stuff.  I love his grouping of hitters, and that he controls for the identity of the pitcher.

I don’t agree with his choice of what constitutes a hitter’s count though.  A 1-0 and a 2-1 are very similar, and they should be pooled together.  Joe had the 2-1, but not the 1-0.  The 3-2 is also a hitter’s count, which Joe counts as neutral.  As the “pass through” chart shows, if the batter has more balls than strikes, it’s a hitter’s count.  The only question is whether to treat the 2-2 and 0-1 counts as neutral or pitcher’s count (but they need to be pooled together).  Joe includes these two as pitcher’s counts, which I’m fine with.  Otherwise, clear pitcher’s counts are 0-2 and 1-2.

Nonetheless, great work.

(15) Comments • 2007/11/04 • SabermetricsBall_Tracking
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November 02, 2007
Do power hitters see fewer fastballs in hitter’s counts?