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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, July 19, 2011

Did Jon Heyman fail ECON 101 ?

By Tangotiger, 05:11 PM

Beltran is owed about 25MM$ over the next 1.5 years.  How much performance can we expect from him?  I dunno, but probably less than 25MM$.  If it’s more, it’s not that much more.  At best, you are talking about a 30MM$ property, with 25MM$ of mortgage.

Domonic Brown probably has 25MM$ of mortgage over the first 6 years of his contract (that is, the SAME as Beltran).  I expect him to generate alot more than 30MM$ of property value over those 6 years.

UPDATE: Looks like the answer is: “No”.  It’s possible that Heyman was not speaking for himself, but for the Mets.

(36) Comments • 2011/07/25 • SabermetricsFinances
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July 19, 2011
Did Jon Heyman fail ECON 101 ?