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Wednesday, October 28, 2009
DH advantage in the World Series?
Matt says:
In that case, the National League DH numbers may actually be overstating the ability of the player actually added to the lineup—but by how much, considering the poor performance of the actual DHs the NL teams used? This is clearly an advantage for the American League, but by how much of a margin? The difference is only about six runs over 119 games when you add it all up
...
However, the AL pitchers are simply awful, as they have an EqA of .100 with a line of .098/.112/.121 in 145 PA, contrasted with the NL pitchers EqA of .159 with a line of .151/.197/.193 in 140 PA. National League pitchers are slightly better bunters in the Fall Classic as well, sacrificing 13 times to the junior circuit’s 11 times. In fact, the difference in this run total is about 11 runs over those 119 games as well
So, the AL benefits when the DH is in play by .05 runs per game, while the NL benefits when the DH is not in play by .10 runs per game. All-in-all, the impact will be close enough to zero that this is not even an issue.
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