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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, May 27, 2010

Delaying Strasburg worth 18MM$ to Nationals

By Tangotiger, 06:55 AM

Just enough to cover his signing bonus and first 3 years of his contract.

So, using our made-up numbers for Lincecum and applying them to Strasburg, here is what is at stake for the Nationals:

-- If Strasburg reaches Super Two status, he gets: $9 million in 2013, $14 million in 2014, $18 million in 2015 and $22 million in 2016, for a total of $63 million in those four years.

-- If Strasburg fails to reach Super Two status, he gets: $3.9 million in 2013, $9 million in 2014, $14 million in 2015 and $18 million in 2016, for a total of $44.9 million.

In other words, it could be worth about $18 million to the Nationals—or a little less than what they are paying for two years of Adam Dunn—to delay Strasburg’s debut until Memorial Day (when the Nats will be on the road).

Business-smart.  Baseball-stupid.

Smart wins.  The rest of us prefer the stupidity.

(10) Comments • 2010/05/27 • SabermetricsFinances
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May 27, 2010
Delaying Strasburg worth 18MM$ to Nationals