THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
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Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Day to day Marcel

By Tangotiger, 11:28 AM

Good stuff from Sal.

Note that the “day to day” equation I use is weight = .9994^daysAgo. So, 365 daysAgo gives you a weight of .80, and 730 days ago is .65, etc. Basically, it’s 80% every year. You could make it go back 20 years if you like. For pitchers, it’s .9990^daysAgo.

I was supposed to show how to do a day-to-day Marcel. I’ll post it here, hopefully soon.

(5) Comments • 2008/03/04 • Sabermetrics • Forecasting

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February 12, 2008
Day to day Marcel

Dec 01 16:50		Nate Silver: hero to interviewers
Dec 01 12:14		The New Triple Crown
Dec 01 12:00		David Frost
Dec 01 11:27		Situational Wins
Dec 01 10:31		How well can we project team defense and other UZR data…
Nov 29 00:37		Ah, so we meet again
Nov 28 07:20		BDB Database (MS Access)
Nov 28 00:21		Question for your Fantasyers
Nov 27 22:49		End of year Sabermetric stats
Nov 26 17:52		Manny Acta says the words “PITCHf/x”
Nov 25 21:46		Madagascar Happy Meal Codes
Nov 25 15:13		Forecasting Stocks
Nov 25 11:45		Chipper Delgado
Nov 25 07:55		Run-based similarity scores
Nov 24 13:53		Mailbags on Parade
Nov 23 22:49		Marcel for the NBA
Nov 23 08:39		Fans Scouting Report - Full Preliminary Results
Nov 23 08:21		Runs Produced
Nov 23 01:56		Chance of Scoring by Base/Out, Retrosheet Years
Nov 22 20:58		Evaluating the 2008 Forecasting Systems
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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Day to day Marcel

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