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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, September 22, 2011

Cy Bayes

By Tangotiger, 02:49 PM

Phil makes an argument similar to how MGL makes an argument regarding UZR.

In order to understand what Phil says, you have to set aside your bias (if you have it) that the performance numbers that are tracked by pitcher are actually performance numbers that are performed by that pitcher.  You have to think that some of the numbers that are tracked by pitcher are INCIDENTAL to that pitcher.  You have to think like this, in order to have his discussion.  If you can’t do that, if you can’t try to do that, then there’s no point to having this particular discussion.

Aside to Phil: Marcel had Kershaw with a 3.07 ERA for 2011, and Halladay at 3.04.  So, while you make great points in your article, you didn’t have the right examples!  Sabathia and Verlander would have been better examples.

(2) Comments • 2011/09/22 • SabermetricsStatistical_Theory
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September 22, 2011
Cy Bayes