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Wednesday, August 11, 2010
Count-component Linear Weights
What Pat is suggesting is: if you get a triple in a hitter’s count, then you give the hitter +.10 runs for getting into a hitter’s count, and +1.0 runs for getting a triple. If you get a triple in a pitcher’s count, you get -.10 runs for putting yourself in the hole, and +1.2 for getting out of it.
In either case, you get +1.1 runs for the triple. It’s just a matter of how you split the value of that triple within a batter’s skillset.
Harry Pavlidis produced the LWTS chart by count for each component a year or so ago.
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