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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, June 12, 2008

Complete Run Expectancy, Retrosheet Years

By Tangotiger, 07:43 PM

RE chart for the entirety of Retrosheet years.

To read the first record: with the bases empty and 0 outs, there have been almost 2 million PA with almost 1 million runs scoring from that point to the end of the inning.  The average (R/PA) is 0.494 runs, which is labeled as REOI (runs to end of inning).  REOI_0 is the percentage of times that there were no runs scored at all in that inning (72.7% in this case).

Excluded are all partial innings, and home halves of 9th and later innings.  I am only looking at the base/out state at the start of the PA.

Here’s the SQL

(109) Comments • 2009/12/06 • SabermetricsRun_Win_Expectancy
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June 12, 2008
Complete Run Expectancy, Retrosheet Years