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Tuesday, April 07, 2009

Community/Obama Forecast - NCAA Bracket

By Tangotiger, 12:21 PM

Can someone be kind enough to post how well the community forecast did against the individual forecast in ESPN’s bracket?  Obama finished at the 80th percentile, which sounds to me like he was an “average expert”, and I presume all experts are around there, as well as the community forecast.

This is similar to what I did (on a smaller scale) six years ago, where the community forecast finished at the 90th percentile, compared to each individual forecaster.  If it’s not clear, the community does not finish at the 50th percentile, but far higher.  Read the article to try to appreciate why this is so.

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May 25 16:31
What sabermetrics is NOT

May 25 15:28
Largest demonstration in Canadian history?

May 25 15:12
Do pitcher’s reach back for velocity when needed?

May 25 15:02
Pete Palmer’s new book: Basic Ball

May 25 13:04
“Why Kickstarter works”

May 25 12:51
Chad Curtis

May 25 11:32
Howard Stern

May 25 11:26
Lack of hustle during a game

May 25 10:58
Rooting for laundry

May 25 02:38
NFLPA lawsuit against collusion

THREADS

April 07, 2009
Community/Obama Forecast - NCAA Bracket

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