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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Saturday, November 26, 2011

Which team was the most fun to follow in 2011 regular season?

By Tangotiger, 07:37 PM

Cardinals and Rangers.  That’s how I interpret the CLI stat in the 2012 THT Annual.  LI is Leverage Index.  CLI is Championship Leverage Index, which basically means how much did each of the 30 team’s chance of making the playoffs change day to day.

So, Studes calculated it, and figured that CLI for the Cards at 2.22, to lead the league. In last place was the Astros.  Results are in the sidebars of page 83-84.  And by the way, I love the sidebars.  Just a great feature and tremendous layout.  Much better in this small format, 9x7 book (just a bit bigger than The Book).

I think it’s a tremendous story stat, deserving of tracking on an annual basis.  I hope SOMEONE does it, because it’s pretty cool. 


#1    Chris      (see all posts) 2011/11/27 (Sun) @ 10:41

What if we used WPA to find the most dramatic team. It would be something like gross WPA change in the 9th inning. That way you find both comebacks and collapses IE the most exciting team to watch.


#2    Tangotiger      (see all posts) 2011/11/27 (Sun) @ 11:35

At the game level (irrespective of how it affects its playoff chances), Fangraphs already publishes that stat, albeit only at the game level (aLI).  It would be a simple enough addition for David to track that at the seasonal level.


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