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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, November 20, 2008

Top Free Agent Pitchers

By Tangotiger, 12:33 PM

Rally gives us his list.


#1    Sean      (see all posts) 2008/11/20 (Thu) @ 13:19

I know it’s hard to place him because of injury, but shouldn’t Smoltz be on this list?  Maybe he just missed though.

Anyone know a ballpark figure of how much Kenshin Kawakami is suppose to be getting money wise?


#2    Rally      (see all posts) 2008/11/20 (Thu) @ 13:42

What is Smoltz’s timetable for return?  I thought he might be out at least half the year, which at his age could just mean retirement.

I left off Moose since he just retired (though for all I know it could be a Favre retirement).  Schilling’s another one, if he’s able and decides to pitch he’d be the next guy on the list, along with Oliver Perez.


#3    Sean      (see all posts) 2008/11/20 (Thu) @ 15:52

Not sure on Smoltz.

Where did you get your 2008 stats for the NPB?  I know Kawakami’s stats from going to his NPB page http://bis.npb.or.jp/players/41343886.html but just curious if there was an english version with all players stats out there that I’m not aware of.


#4    Rally      (see all posts) 2008/11/20 (Thu) @ 15:58

I taught myself how to read Japanese just to do projections for their players.

Just kidding.

http://www.japanbaseballdaily.com/DataWarehouse.html

That is one great site.


#5    Colin Wyers      (see all posts) 2008/11/20 (Thu) @ 16:08

It’s not updated anymore, but there is a database of NPB stats through 2005, using essentially the same schema as the Baseball Databank:

http://japanesebaseball.com/forum/thread.jsp?forum=17&thread=5709


#6    david smyth      (see all posts) 2008/11/20 (Thu) @ 18:06

It’s easy to simply follow the projections. But it’s more fun to go out on a limb, based on your personal observations.

So, I predict that Dempster will provide more value over his contract than any other pitcher on Rally’s list other than CC, over the next 4 years.


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