Buy The Book
If nothing else, a cool website name.
http://www.madstatter.com/
http://www.madstatter.com/07/margins.php
And I just learned that so far:
“Home Wins: 191 Visitor Wins: 194 “
"Home Wins: 253 Visitor Wins: 239 “ (.514)
So, since we looked, that’s 62 home wins and 45 road wins (.579).
Regression toward the mean is likely 100%, so we should expect around .530-.540 for games from now until the end of season. That’ll make the final home win% about 5 points lower than it has been historically.
Jan 09 16:41
Sabermetric Moves of the 2009 Pre-Season
Jan 09 19:56
Modeling Baseball Player Ability with a Nested Dirichlet Distribution
Jan 09 18:08
Line Drives
Jan 09 18:04
Challenging Nate Silver (and all other forecasters)
Jan 09 17:31
Cheers
Jan 09 17:14
Teaching sabermetrics at school
Jan 09 16:51
The first Hardball Times Annual available for download!
Jan 09 14:44
Vote for the Worst Player in MLB
Jan 09 12:29
Clint Eastwood is Archie Bunker
Jan 09 12:16
Mailbags on Parade
Thanks for blogging my site! I also think it’s interesting that there are more visitor wins than home wins… it’s been that way for most of the season (it was actually a tie for a while). Seems like the home field advantage isn’t what it used to be.