Friday, September 07, 2007
The future of splits
Want to see how and where balls have been put in play against Paul Byrd when he has two strikes on a left-handed batter? Look no further.
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Want to see how and where balls have been put in play against Paul Byrd when he has two strikes on a left-handed batter? Look no further.
Same concerns here - I actually cringe when thinking about the kinds of analysis/decisions that might be based on 20 or 30 batted balls that occurred in a very specific situation for a specific player.
The sample size issue is particularly of concern when using the mlb.com hit data because they record the spot where a ball is picked up by a fielder. A few unusual bounces off a wall can really change the picture when you’re looking at small subset of batted ball information.
Nov 21 17:29
Sabermetric Moves of the 2009 Pre-Season
Nov 22 06:40
The New Triple Crown
Nov 22 06:24
Chance of Scoring by Base/Out, Retrosheet Years
Nov 22 02:48
How good are the Fans in evaluating fielding?
Nov 21 20:13
Runs Produced
Nov 21 19:27
Marcel 2009 is here
Nov 21 16:43
Nate Silver: hero to interviewers
Nov 21 10:57
New BBTN
Nov 20 20:34
ABSO-lutely… not!
Nov 20 19:23
R.I.P. Tom Boswell, sabermetrician; P.A.L.L.(*) Tom Boswell, human being
The two big questions in my mind in terms of positioning fielders based on count, the style of the pitcher, teh game situation, etc., is:
Once we have some spray charts, how much do we “regress” the data toward league averages? My suspicion has always been that teams position their players based on small-sample, unregressed, spray charts (why not, since they do everything based on too-small samples?).
And two, even we have a good estimate of a player’s likely hit locations, what is the optimal position for fielders for each game situation?