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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, March 12, 2009

The Best Catcher of the Retrosheet era

By Tangotiger, 09:20 AM

Sky gives us the breakdown.  And, I must say, I love the presentation.


#1    Sky      (see all posts) 2009/03/12 (Thu) @ 12:24

Thanks, Tango.

Two things surprised me—Piazza wasn’t all that bad behind the plate (typically -5 runs).  And Pudge was just disgusting—>=19 runs four times.  Hey, sure, methodology and data issues, but jeez.


#2    dan      (see all posts) 2009/03/12 (Thu) @ 12:50

Sean uses WOWY for catchers, right?


#3    Tangotiger      (see all posts) 2009/03/12 (Thu) @ 13:04

I don’t see how he could, since I have Piazza at -10 using WOWY.


#4    dan      (see all posts) 2009/03/12 (Thu) @ 13:36

Hhhmmm.... what other way can you evaluate catcher defense? I think I just assumed it was some version of WOWY, but I guess not. THT has catcher defense, but nothing that translates to runs, and that’s the only measure I can think of besides WOWY.

Sean?


#5    jinaz      (see all posts) 2009/03/12 (Thu) @ 13:40

Rally’ll have to confirm, but I’m pretty sure that for the WAR stuff, he uses an approach this approach:
http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/primate_studies/discussion/tweaking_zone_rating/

It assesses things that must matter...but leaves a lot of other things that may matter on the sidelines that WOWY would measure.
-j


#6    jinaz      (see all posts) 2009/03/12 (Thu) @ 13:43

^edit out the “an approach” above.  I always regret not proofreading before hitting submit.

Also, if you’re interested in seeing more results using that approach, I independently came to virtually the same catcher evaluation procedure here and used that in my WAR stuff I posted all last year:
http://jinaz-reds.blogspot.com/2007/11/player-value-part-3c-fielding-catchers.html
-j


#7    Tangotiger      (see all posts) 2009/03/12 (Thu) @ 14:07

Right, I figured Rally simply compared the WP, PB, SB, CS to the league averages of that year.  Likely, Petralli and the other catchers will take an unnecessary hit.


#8    Rally      (see all posts) 2009/03/12 (Thu) @ 14:25

Yes, catchers of knuckleballers will take a hit.

I’m comparing the catchers to the league averages of this categories, plus errors and pickoffs, for righhanded and lefthanded pitchers.

It does not consider gamecalling.


#9    Rally      (see all posts) 2009/03/12 (Thu) @ 15:06

"Two things surprised me—Piazza wasn’t all that bad behind the plate (typically -5 runs).  And Pudge was just disgusting—>=19 runs four times.  Hey, sure, methodology and data issues, but jeez.”

Piazza’s average was about -5, his worst years were in the -10 to -15 range.  Pudge’s best were over 20, but his average is about +8 or +9 per year.  Let’s compare apples to apples.


#10    Brian Cartwright      (see all posts) 2009/03/13 (Fri) @ 18:20

Very nice graphic presentation, but where is Gary Carter?


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