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Thursday, November 05, 2009

The 2009 Fans Scouting Report - last chance

By Tangotiger, 01:23 PM

I will close balloting Monday night.  If you haven’t voted, here’s your last chance.


#1    jinaz      (see all posts) 2009/11/10 (Tue) @ 14:01

Something interesting with SS’s.
http://www.tangotiger.net/scout/index6.php?prim_fld_cd=6

Jack Wilson was rated by both PIT and SEA fans.  Average scores as you’re reporting them are 4.38 & 4.36.

Orlando Cabrera was rated by both OAK and MIN fans.  Average scores as you’re reporting them are 3.33 & 3.28. 

In both cases, they show up right next to each other in the overall SS rankings.  And their individual skill ratings track extremely well (e.g. Jack Wilson’s sprint speed vs. catching scores).

So, either we have the same fans voting on each player twice, or the FSR is apparently quite repeatable on individual players (or at least these individual SS’s).
-j


#2    Tangotiger      (see all posts) 2009/11/10 (Tue) @ 14:12

Yes, I noticed that for them. 

As I’ve said in the past, all you need is two groups of 15 fans, and you will get a correlation of r=.9x.  That is hugely impressive in my view.

Maybe the fans don’t know anything, but at least they all don’t know the same thing: they are consistent.

In any case, I believe they know tons. 

Look at Drew Stubbs, who ended up having the highest score of all the players (albeit on 10 votes… regression will push him down a bit).  UZR loves him too, but it’s only on 40 games.  He was a high draft pick a few years ago.

On its own, you have to discount UZR severely, almost to the point that he’s a barely above average CF.  With this information, it’s easy to see how someone will be able to claim him as one of the best fielding outfielders in baseball.


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