from Amazon
Friday, September 21, 2007
Runner movements on non-steals
Dan Fox gives us some leaders and trailers for runners on non-steal, non-PA events.
In The Book, I looked at SB, CS, PK, BK, WP, PB, DI, OA (though maybe the last two didn’t survive the final cut… don’t remember) when looking at the basestealing chapter. I reasoned that a Pickoff is very close to a Caught Stealing, so I had to include it. I then reasoned that a Balk is the flip-side of the Pickoff, so I had to include that as well. Whether WP or PB had anything to do with the runner, I figured it wouldn’t matter, since given a large enough sample, if it didn’t matter, it would end up being close to zero anyway.
A few years ago, I also looked at it in evaluating catchers from 1974-1990. By the way, I wrote an article for the THT 2008 Annual that updates this article for all the Retrosheet years (1957-2006, minus 1999). And I also have a leader/trailer chart for pitchers too.