Thursday, May 12, 2011
Relief specialization paying off?
Buy The Book from Amazon
As if by magic, this just showed up:
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/teams-continue-to-overpay-relievers-why/
So, as long as relievers are overpaid, you’ll get what you find in the above chart—so, an effect due to specialization is unnecessary.
May 25 11:22
What sabermetrics is NOT
May 25 11:02
Do pitcher’s reach back for velocity when needed?
May 25 10:58
Rooting for laundry
May 25 10:14
Largest demonstration in Canadian history?
May 25 06:39
Lack of hustle during a game
May 25 02:38
NFLPA lawsuit against collusion
May 25 01:43
Neal Huntington’s best moves
May 24 17:04
Firefox, IE, or Chrome?
May 24 12:07
How to beat the shift
May 24 11:11
Incredible story
Interesting, but subject to the following questions, as I don’t think the data directly support the conclusion:
1) relief specialization started in the early 90s/late 80s as far as I am aware, yet the difference didn’t improve till late-90s-2000. Why should that be?
2) with so few data points, how much does the one 2011-so-far (is that weighted appropriately) account for the recent inflection point?
So:
What’s the r value on that chart, and sans 2011?
Could the following explain the findings:
Reliever mania kicked in leading, not to improved efficiency via specialization, but just a shifting of better pitchers to the relief role.
Now (as in just beginning to take hold but not yet), as the trend of having your best pitchers pitchers the most innings and not focus so much on saves, we might except the difference to actually shift back and we won’t have the best pitchers wasted on 60 innings a year anymore.