THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Thursday, December 20, 2007

Really?

Really? I mean, really?  Of the 90 players, 33 improved their “statistical performance” in the first year following PED, and 46 improved in at least one of the two years.  Stop the presses!  Given TWO chances at improving your performance, 50% did so.  This means that 50% had a worse performance in BOTH of the following two years (compared to the 15% who had a better performance in both of of the following two years).  They should change the name to PDD, changing enhancing to declining. 

In all seriousness, I applaud the research and effort.  But, the conclusions and headline are totally at odds with the researchers’ own data.