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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, April 01, 2010

Optimal launch angle of bat, by park

By Tangotiger, 12:34 PM

This is from Greg.

It shows the minimum Speed off Bat required for a particular elevation angle in order to get a fly ball over the Green Monster in Fenway Park (at a point where the wall is 342 feet from home plate, roughly between straight-away left field and left-center field).  On the plot, any ball above the curve is a homer, anything below it is a non-homer. 

image

Re-read Greg’s description 2 or 3 times and then look at the image again.  (Image is also clickable if you want to see it bigger.) This is how I responded at first glance:

Whoah, this is really cool.

So, we can even say that there is an “optimal” launch angle for each park, based on speed off the bat, and spray angle.

If you have a RHH pull power hitter (average spray angle of say -20 degrees) who hits fastballs at 100mph off the bat, then his optimal launch angle at Fenway might be 30 degrees, while in other parks it could be 27 degrees.  And if he’s a weaker hitter, he might maximize his talent by launching at Fenway at 21 degrees, while he might launch at 23 degrees in other parks.

Yowza.


#1          (see all posts) 2010/04/01 (Thu) @ 14:34

I’d be interested to see a third plot on that graph—the plot above/below which the ball will hit, say, 10 feet above the ground (fieldable on the fly) on the wall.  A good chunk of those line drives Fenway ‘takes away’ guarantee the batter a hit, which would be caught in another park.


#2          (see all posts) 2010/04/01 (Thu) @ 20:39

Lines drives high off the wall are HR in every park.  Line drives that hit low off the wall are likely excluded from Gregs study, as you are right, they would be caught elsewhere (if hit right at the LF’er, otherwise they are doubles)

I don’t understand how a weaker hitter launching a a LD at a lower angle helps his HR totals at Fenway, although this makes sense for FB since a higher the angle FB by a weaker hitter (slower SOB) ends up as an out or just off the wall while a lower angle gives him more horizontal distance with enough vertical distance to clear the wall.

Of course, I doubt hitters can control the angle off the bat that precisely against a 95 mph FB.


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