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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, July 16, 2010

NBA free throw shooters choke late in close games

By Tangotiger, 02:10 PM

Some eye-popping numbers that Phil found in a study:

The score differential is from the perspective of the shooting team, and the “%” column is actually percentage points.

-5 points: -3%
-4 points: -1%
-3 points: -1%
-2 points: -5% (significant at 5%)
-1 points: -7% (significant at 1%)
+0 points: +2%
+1 points: -5% (significant at 5%)

+2 points: +0%
+3 points: -1% ("also signficant")
+4 points: +1%
+5 points: -1%



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