THE BOOK cover
The Unwritten Book is Finally Written!
An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
Read Excerpts & Customer Reviews
If you are a media member and would like a review copy of The Book, please contact Kevin Cuddihy of Potomac Books.

Buy The Book from Amazon

MOST RECENT ARTICLES
MAIL : You ask | We say

Advanced


THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

<< Back to main

Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Curve v Slider

By Tangotiger, 09:48 AM

Cool interview.  Great quote right here:

Coach Bagonzi: If a young pitcher doesn’t start to develop a curveball early in his career (age 15-plus), I don’t think he will ever have a good one. So, I agree with your contact who says that if he can’t spin it by age 19, forget it, and I think that is why there are so many sliders (the “devil’s pitch”) - it’s the quick fix.

In fact, I talked with the pitching coach of the Rangers a few years back when they [still] trained in Port Charlotte, Florida, and asked him why there were so many sliders and so few curveballs among the Rangers’ pitchers, and he quite emphatically stated that the young pitchers’ “window of opportunity” was small and narrow, and the slider could be learned faster, and this became the “fix.”

That is why before a young pitcher signs, it would be good if he had a curveball - a good, down-breaking 12-to-6 curveball with crispness thrown for strikes. This enhances the fastball and its effect multifold. Pitching up and down trajectory-wise is a devastating event, even for the good hitter; the trouble is that few pitchers do it well. Those that do are generally winners and high-strikeout guys. [Nolan] Ryan had a good curveball, and this made him electrifying.

Curveballs are less stressful on the arm than sliders because of the deceleration of the arm on release. However, one has to be aware of losing arm speed on their fastball if too many curveballs are thrown. A curveball should precede a slider in the learning business.

Why is it we only get good stuff like this from the mainstream media and not blogs?

{Dripping with sarcasm.}


#1          (see all posts) 2008/09/16 (Tue) @ 14:25

I don’t really think his curveball statement is a hard and fast rule. This one example proves nothing, but Phil Hughes didn’t even have a curveball until after he signed his pro contract. Until that point it was all fastball/slider. I’m too young to have seen him, but I remember reading that Nolan Ryan didn’t develop his nasty curve until his late 20’s.


#2    birdwatcher      (see all posts) 2008/09/16 (Tue) @ 14:38

It’s a great interview but when it comes to the $64 million question, that is, what’s happened to the 200+ innings-eaters, he recited his historical experience but really had no answer.


#3    Jason Parks      (see all posts) 2008/09/17 (Wed) @ 16:51

Glad you enjoyed the interview.  I should have Part 2 posted later on this week.


#4    Tangotiger      (see all posts) 2008/09/25 (Thu) @ 16:26

Part 2:
http://mvn.com/mlb-rangers/2008/09/25/qa-with-dr-john-bagonzi-part-ii/

More fascinating talk.  Honestly, I have to read it a few times.

However, I would suggest ignoring his very last response.  We’ll give him a mulligan since he gave us so much more to think about.


#5    MGL      (see all posts) 2008/09/25 (Thu) @ 18:25

The last response is so bad, I am afraid that I cannot give him a mulligan or a pass.  If he has those beliefs (that pitching is 70-80% the game, good pitching beats good hitting, good pitching improves defense, etc.), what other beliefs does he have that are wrong?

This was a combination of velocity and rotation, giving the ball “late life,” which is not exactly the same as movement (veer, sink or tail). This is more like a “booster” stage. Few pitchers have this. The direction of spin (1-to-7, 2-to-8, 3-to-9) is what gives a ball movement. Positioning of the fingers and pressure point variations causes a ball to move as well.

Lots of what he says about movement make little sense.  The ONLY things that cause movement are axis of spin and spin rate.  There is no such thing as “late movement” other than from an illusory perceptive.  Positioning of the fingers and pressure point variation can only change spin axis and spin speed.  Nothing else.

As far as all his and other people’s biomechanical “opinions,” are we to judge them on how good they sound?  I have absolutely no idea whether this guy, Mike Marshall, Gomez, or any of the other mechanics gurus has ANY idea what they are talking about.  The fact that Mike Marshall had a rubber arm and never got hurt is evidence of what, exactly?  That he knows the secret to proper pitching mechanics?  To not getting hurt?  I don’t think so.

When someone shows me some scientific work on pitching mechanics, and maybe this guy (or Marshall or anyone else) has some, then I will listen. Until then, it is all babbling to me (it may end up not being babbling of course).

In The Book, there is not ONE thing in all 382 pages that any one of the authors claimed that was not supported by scientific evidence (usually sample data) along with the associated certainty of the conclusions.

Not so with these pitching (or hitting) gurus or so-called experts.  Spouting theories does not in any way shape or form make one an expert.  Not even close.  Those theories have to be backed up with scientific evidence.  That is especially true of someone who has to credentials associated with those theories.  If someone is a pHD physicist, for example, and they start spouting theories on quantum physics, I tend to believe them even if they don’t give me the evidence and the research that support those theories.  Even then, one has to be careful, as there is apparently no shortage of wackos and nutcases with pHD’s. 

Again, maybe some of these guys do (have the evidence to support their theories), but until I (or someone else that I know and respect) see them, all of their talk means NOTHING to me.  Nothing.


#6    MGL      (see all posts) 2008/09/25 (Thu) @ 18:27

I don’t know how to properly say this, but it doesn’t mean that I am criticizing this guy or the interview, or that it was not valuable.  I could say the same thing if I were being interviewed about sabermetrics and I spouted sabermetric “theories” without citing supportive research and evidence, which I have done many times.


Page 1 of 1 pages


Name (required)
E-Mail (optional)
Website (optional)

<< Back to main


Latest...

COMMENTS

Nov 20 01:43
Sabermetric Moves of the 2009 Pre-Season

Nov 20 04:02
Nate Silver: hero to interviewers

Nov 20 02:01
My 1B is better than your 1B

Nov 20 00:26
MLB logo

Nov 19 23:03
NBA’s Marcel

Nov 19 19:13
Offense by position groups by decade

Nov 19 17:32
Changes in home run rates during the Retrosheet years

Nov 19 16:40
One Year and One Million Hits Later

Nov 19 16:22
Soria as a starter?

Nov 19 13:50
Response of a fired head coach